Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday


	Matteo Gigante		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.94	1.45
	2.94	1.45
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.13	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.17)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
32.9%

Roberto Carballes Baena
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Gigante's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gigante will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gigante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Karim Bennani	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Flavio Cobolli - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LW?LW

Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide