Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Constant Lestienne		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.27
	1.66	2.28
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constant Lestienne
57.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constant Lestienne's performance.

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Carballes Baena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constant Lestienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Constant Lestienne will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Lestienne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carballes Baena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lestienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lestienne won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constant Lestienne
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Denis Kudla	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Constant Lestienne - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Flavio Cobolli - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.24	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.08.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	Canceled
09.05.16	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	2:1

Constant Lestienne - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide