Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Matteo Martineau		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.8	1.45
	2.83	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.07)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
33.2%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Martineau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matteo Martineau - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Martineau is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
17.08.21	Matteo Martineau - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
16.08.21	Dayne Kelly - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
15.08.21	Matteo Martineau - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
08.08.21	Manuel Mazza - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
20.07.21	Matteo Martineau - Teymuraz Gabashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
18.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
13.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
12.08.21	Evgenii Tiurnev - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
10.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
04.08.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.18	Matteo Martineau - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2

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