Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Francesco Ferrari

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.5	2.4
	1.49	2.5
	1.49	2.51
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.32)	2.41 ↓ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
61.4%

Francesco Ferrari
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.

Francesco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Ferrari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Ferrari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Dellavedova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrari is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferrari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dellavedova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
08.04.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWL
- Francesco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
09.04.24	Kiyan Santino Kasemi - Francesco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Cengiz Aksu - Francesco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Francesco Ferrari - Joel Josef Schwarzler	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Jordi Garcia Mestre - Francesco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Mert Alkaya	✺

Matthew Dellavedova - Francesco Ferrari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide