Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BURNIE 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.32
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.58	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.25)	1.28 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
27%

Hiroki Moriya
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hiroki Moriya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matthew Dellavedova - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Moriya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moriya is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
29.01.24	James McCabe - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.24	Alex Bolt - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Matteo Gigante - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Matthew Dellavedova - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
01.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	James McCabe - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Hiroki Moriya - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
10.01.24	Arthur Fery - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
10.01.24	Hiroki Moriya - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

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