Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Hiroki Moriya		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.74	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.48)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
33.1%

Alex Bolt
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moriya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolt will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 386. Bolt is ranked ATP: 160.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Moriya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolt is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Moriya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Hiroki Moriya - Andrea Picchione	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Hiroki Moriya - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Benoit Paire - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Alex Bolt - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
07.11.24	Alex Bolt - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Matej Dodig - Alex Bolt	Dodig M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.03.24	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.02.24	Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt	1:2
30.10.19	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:0
16.06.15	Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt	0:2

Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide