Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tauranga (New Zealand), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.49	2.39
	1.52	2.46
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.4	2.75
	1.49	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.71)	2.45 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
62.2%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matthew Dellavedova's performance.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Dylan Hara Friend might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matthew Dellavedova - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dellavedova will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dellavedova: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 334. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 967.

Dellavedova in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hara Friend is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dellavedova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dellavedova will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dellavedova to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
19.12.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Alexander Klintcharov	2:0 ✺
18.12.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Harry Pugh	2:0 ✺
16.12.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Duncan McCall	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Jason Kubler - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Emile Hudd - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ITF Tournaments
19.12.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Jack Loutit	2:1 ✺
18.12.24	Reece Falck - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
17.12.24	Lawrence Bataljin - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
12.12.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
11.12.24	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Reece Falck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

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