Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Proietti S. (Ita)


	Matthew Dellavedova		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7
	2.04	1.7	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.88)	1.69 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
45.2%

Luca Castagnola
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matthew Dellavedova - Luca Castagnola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 390. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 662.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Dellavedova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Andrea Paolini	2:1 ✺
06.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Remy Bertola - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Luca Castagnola
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Ryan Nijboer - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Luca Castagnola - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.24	Luca Castagnola - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLL

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