Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HERAKLION 2 (GREECE), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Matthew Donald		Adam Heinonen

	1	2
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.21
	1.62	2.21
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.26	Watch
	1.53	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.23 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
58.3%

Adam Heinonen
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matthew Donald's performance.

Adam Heinonen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Heinonen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Donald that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Heinonen than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Heinonen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
27.02.24	Matthew Donald - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
23.02.24	Mika Brunold - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
22.02.24	Michael Zhu - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Matthew Donald - Jakub Nicod	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Fabien Salle - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWL
- Adam Heinonen
ITF Tournaments
23.02.24	Adam Heinonen - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Adam Heinonen	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Dali Blanch - Adam Heinonen	1:2 ✺
25.01.24	Tom Gentzsch - Adam Heinonen	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Adam Heinonen - Edison Ambarzumjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW

Matthew Donald - Adam Heinonen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide