Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 6, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Matthew Donald		Ioannis Xilas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.58	1.52
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.63	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
36.2%

Ioannis Xilas
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Donald's form might have worsened.

Ioannis Xilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ioannis Xilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 552. Xilas is ranked ATP: 356.

Donald is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Xilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Donald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Keshav Chopra - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Anton Shepp - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Matthew Donald - John Hallquist Lithen	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Matthew Donald - Peter Makk	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Matthew Donald - Valentin Lapalu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Ioannis Xilas
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Henry Searle - Ioannis Xilas	Xilas I. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Louis Dussin - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Luca Staeheli - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Henry Searle - Ioannis Xilas	Xilas I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?WW?

Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide