Match Info

Date: 20 July 2021, Tuesday


	Matthew Ebden		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.38
	1.6	2.25
	1.65	2.36
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.61	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)	2.33 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Ebden
59.3%

Elias Ymer
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Ebden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matthew Ebden's performance.

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Ebden than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	0%	19.6%

Matthew Ebden - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: Matthew Ebden will win (45 of 56 users predict this - 80.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.95% – 90.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ebden is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ymer is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Ebden
ATP Los Cabos
18.07.21	Matthew Ebden - John-Patrick Smith	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Matthew Ebden - Harri Heliovaara	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.21	Matthew Ebden - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
22.06.21	Matthew Ebden - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.21	Matthew Ebden - Alex Bolt	Ebden M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLW?
- Elias Ymer
ATP Bastad
15.07.21	Elias Ymer - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
12.07.21	Elias Ymer - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.21	Daniel Altmaier - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
07.07.21	Elias Ymer - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
05.07.21	Elias Ymer - Tobias Kamke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW

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