Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HELSINKI (FINLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Adrian Andreev

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.52	2.45
	1.47	2.65
	1.47	2.71
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.46	2.64	Watch
	1.46	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)	2.61 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
64.1%

Adrian Andreev
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Andreev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Andreev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mattia Bellucci - Adrian Andreev Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Andreev will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreev: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Andreev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bellucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bellucci will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Norbert Gombos - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
26.10.22	Antoine Escoffier - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Mattia Bellucci - Cem Ilkel	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Viktor Durasovic - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Zdenek Kolar - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW
- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
14.11.22	Jay Clarke - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Adrian Andreev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Stefano Travaglia - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
10.10.22	Adrian Andreev - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
10.10.22	Adrian Andreev - Martin Cuevas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Mattia Bellucci - Adrian Andreev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide