Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.66
	2.14	1.61
	2.23	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.21)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
43.3%

Dennis Novak
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Mattia Bellucci - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 45 - 88.2%). Novak will win (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 79.3% – 97.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Novak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Mattia Bellucci - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Mattia Bellucci - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Mattia Bellucci - Yann Wojcik	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Marco Cecchinato - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
05.08.22	Andrea Vavassori - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWL?
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
06.09.22	Dennis Novak - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Nicolas Jarry - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Dalibor Svrcina - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
23.08.22	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW

Mattia Bellucci - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide