Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CASSIS (FRANCE), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 September 2023, Friday


	Mattia Bellucci		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	3.05
	1.43	2.98
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.97	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
68.3%

Lucas Poullain
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Mattia Bellucci - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Mattia Bellucci - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Mattia Bellucci - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
07.09.23	Charles Broom - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Lucas Poullain - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
01.08.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Lucas Poullain - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Lucas Poullain - Tiago Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW

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