Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fairfield (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Max Basing		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.75	1.23
	3.93	1.23
	3.81	1.24	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.82)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
24.7%

Colton Smith
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Basing's form might have worsened.

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Basing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Basing - Colton Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 663. Smith is ranked ATP: 545.

Basing is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Smith is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ITF Tournaments
14.09.24	Tibo Colson - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Damian Wenger - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Max Basing - Rawat Sidharth	Rawat S. retired ✺
11.09.24	Max Basing - Hong Lin Fu	2:0 ✺
04.09.24	Max Basing - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?WL
- Colton Smith
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Remy Bertola - Colton Smith	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Colton Smith - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Colton Smith - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Christian Langmo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Max Basing - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide