Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Max Houkes		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.83
	1.88	1.88
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.86	1.87	Watch
	1.82	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.73)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
50.9%

Andrey Chepelev
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Max Houkes - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chepelev will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chepelev is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
01.03.23	Denis Klok - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Luca Tomasetto - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.23	Max Houkes - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.01.23	Max Houkes - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Max Houkes - Filip Bergevi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
28.02.23	Daniel Vallejo - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
23.02.23	Mert Alkaya - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
22.02.23	Gabriel Donev - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

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