Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Max Houkes		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.66	2.08
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.72	2.08
	1.65	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	2.05 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
55%

Calvin Hemery
45%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 226., and Hemery is ranked ATP: 309..

Houkes is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hemery is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Houkes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Houkes has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Max Houkes - Alec Beckley	Beckley A. Retired ✺
08.10.26	Max Houkes - Manuel Plunger	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Max Houkes - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Max Houkes - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Max Houkes - Alec Beckley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?WWLW
- Calvin Hemery
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Niklas Grunewald	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Benjamin Lock - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	0:2

Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery