Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Max Houkes		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.71	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	1.97 (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
53.5%

Calvin Hemery
46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Max Houkes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Calvin Hemery have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 226., and Hemery is ranked ATP: 309..

Houkes is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hemery is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Hemery may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Houkes has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Max Houkes - Alec Beckley	Beckley A. Retired ✺
08.10.26	Max Houkes - Manuel Plunger	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Max Houkes - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Max Houkes - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Max Houkes - Alec Beckley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?WWLW
- Calvin Hemery
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Marlon Vankan	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Niklas Grunewald	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Benjamin Lock - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Max Houkes - Calvin Hemery	0:2

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