Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Calvin Hemery		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.58	2.3
	1.53	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
60.7%

Florent Bax
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Calvin Hemery - Florent Bax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 304., and Bax is ranked ATP: 298..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Hemery may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hemery is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hemery has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Florent Bax - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.44%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Dev Javia - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Rodrigo Alujas - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Louis Van Herck - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Calvin Hemery - Carlos Taberner	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Yshai Oliel - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Caheer Warik - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Noah Schachter - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Moise Kouame - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Florent Bax - Calvin Hemery	1:2
24.04.26	Florent Bax - Calvin Hemery	1:2

Upcoming Matches