Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Filip Misolic

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.4	1.25	Watch
	4.02	1.25
	3.83	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.7	1.25	Watch
	3.4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.75)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
26.4%

Filip Misolic
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.

Filip Misolic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Misolic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Houkes - Filip Misolic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Houkes (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Houkes (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Filip Misolic will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Filip Misolic will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Houkes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Misolic (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 249. Misolic is ranked ATP: 180.

Houkes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Misolic is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Houkes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Misolic is the team to beat.

We predict that Misolic will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Alex Martinez - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Max Houkes - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Max Houkes - Jan Klimas	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Max Houkes - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL
- Filip Misolic
ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Filip Misolic - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Lukas Klein - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Mees Rottgering - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Filip Misolic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Jan Kumstat - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

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