Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)	2.68 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
65.4%

Max Houkes
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Max Houkes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Max Houkes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Max Houkes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Cerundolo (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 125. Houkes is ranked ATP: 285.

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	Sels J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Gauthier Onclin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWWW

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