Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Meerbusch, clay - Final

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Max Houkes		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.49
	2.44	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.69)	1.49 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
37.8%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gilles Arnaud Bailly's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Max Houkes - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 313. Bailly is ranked ATP: 341.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Bailly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bailly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bailly will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houkes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Max Houkes - Daniel Siniakov	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Max Houkes - Richard Antoni	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Max Houkes - Aaron James Williams	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Max Houkes - Jason Jeremy Hildebrandt	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Max Houkes - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Justin Schlageter - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Vincent Marysko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tim Loosen - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Axel Herberg Amoros - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.06.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Max Houkes	0:2

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