Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - Final

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.38
	2.96	1.43
	3.11	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.66)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
32.5%

Guy Den Ouden
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Den Ouden (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guy Den Ouden will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 341. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 161.

Now, both players are in good form.

Den Ouden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Den Ouden is a strong favorite.

We predict that Den Ouden will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bailly won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
30.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benito Sanchez Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
30.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Michalski - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Francisco Rocha - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Mili Poljicak - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Guy Den Ouden	0:2

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide