Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln (Austria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Max Houkes		Jerome Kym

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.22	1.36
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.93	1.38	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.37)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
31.8%

Jerome Kym
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.

Jerome Kym has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerome Kym's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerome Kym than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerome Kym, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Max Houkes - Jerome Kym Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kym will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houkes: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 297. Kym is ranked ATP: 180.

Houkes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kym is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kym could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kym is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
01.09.24	Max Houkes - Toby Alex Kodat	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Max Houkes - Elgin Khoeblal	2:1 ✺
30.08.24	Max Houkes - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Max Houkes - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Max Houkes - Stijn Paardekooper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWW
- Jerome Kym
ATP Challenger
31.08.24	Matteo Gigante - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
30.08.24	Richard Berankis - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Jerome Kym - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Maxime Janvier - Jerome Kym	Janvier M. retired ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Jerome Kym - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWW?L

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