Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Max Houkes		Maxime Chazal

	1	2
			Watch
	1.27	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.41
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.32	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.39)	3.15 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
70.5%

Maxime Chazal
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Maxime Chazal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxime Chazal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 238. Chazal is ranked ATP: 517.

Houkes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chazal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chazal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Houkes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Houkes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
06.04.26	Max Houkes - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Max Houkes - Giuseppe La Vela	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Max Houkes - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Max Houkes - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Max Houkes - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
07.04.26	Kai Wehnelt - Maxime Chazal	Wehnelt K. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Maxime Chazal	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Manuel Mazza - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Maxime Chazal - Elgin Khoeblal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.01.25	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	0:2
ITF Tournaments
04.08.24	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	2:0

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