Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brazzaville (Republic of the Congo), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Max Houkes		Maximus Jones

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	4.85	Watch
	1.15	6.03
	1.14	5.57	Watch
	1.12	5.5	Watch
	1.18	4.44	Watch
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.3)	5.3 ↑ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
82.3%

Maximus Jones
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maximus Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximus Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Houkes - Maximus Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 314. Jones is ranked ATP: 714.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Jones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Houkes is absolute favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Max Houkes - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Max Houkes - Kryce-Didier Momo-Kassa	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
01.02.25	Max Houkes - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.25	Max Houkes - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Maximus Jones - Andrej Martin	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Matteo Covato - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
01.02.25	Stylianos Christodoulou - Maximus Jones	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Melios Efstathiou - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Maximus Jones - Henri Squire	Jones M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WW?L?

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