Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 9 (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 9 (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Max Houkes		Salvatore Caruso

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Max Houkes
57%

Salvatore Caruso
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salvatore Caruso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Recent matches Houkes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caruso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Houkes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
11.10.23	Max Houkes - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Remy Bertola - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
05.10.23	Matej Dodig - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Dusan Obradovic - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Max Houkes - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Salvatore Caruso
ITF Tournaments
11.10.23	Ryuki Matsuda - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
09.10.23	Juan Bautista Otegui - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Salvatore Caruso - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

Max Houkes - Salvatore Caruso