Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6


	Max Houkes		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	3.06	1.4
	2.86	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.03)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
34.6%

Valentin Royer
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Royer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Max Houkes - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Royer will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 308. Royer is ranked ATP: 151.

Houkes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Royer in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Royer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Royer is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Royer to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Houkes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Max Houkes - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Max Houkes - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Valentin Royer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Valentin Royer - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Valentin Royer - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Andrej Martin - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Valentin Royer - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	1:2
08.04.22	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	1:2

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