Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Carlos Sanchez Jover		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.69	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.84	2
	1.79	1.99
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Sanchez Jover
52.9%

Max Houkes
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Sanchez Jover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Sanchez Jover than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Carlos Sanchez Jover - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sanchez Jover will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Houkes will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sanchez Jover is ranked ATP: 263. Houkes is ranked ATP: 303.

Sanchez Jover is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Houkes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sanchez Jover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Sanchez Jover
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Corentin Denolly - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Max Alcala Gurri	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
15.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LW?WW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Max Houkes - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Max Houkes - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Max Houkes - Rodrigo Alujas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW

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