Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Max Purcell		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.83	1.87
	2.02	1.76
	1.92	1.92
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.89
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
49.1%

Harold Mayot
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Purcell's performance.

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harold Mayot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Purcell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harold Mayot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Max Purcell - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mayot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Purcell is ranked ATP: 1046. Mayot is ranked ATP: 252.

Purcell has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Mayot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Purcell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Purcell will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Purcell won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Blaise Bicknell - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Max Purcell - Joshua Charlton	Purcell M. Retired ✺
27.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Max Purcell - Xirui Han	Han X. Retired ✺
25.06.26	Dong Ju Kim - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?W?W
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Harold Mayot - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Ilya Ivashka - Harold Mayot	Ivashka I. Walkover ✺
04.08.26	Filip Pieczonka - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Harold Mayot - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	2:0

Max Purcell - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide