Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LOS CABOS (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Max Purcell		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.4	1.65
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.89)	1.6 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
40.5%

Nuno Borges
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Purcell's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Purcell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Max Purcell - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Purcell will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Borges will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Purcell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Purcell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.24	Max Purcell - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.24	Marcos Giron - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
05.02.24	Mitchell Krueger - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.24	Max Purcell - Casper Ruud	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Los Cabos
20.02.24	Dominik Koepfer - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Gabriel Diallo - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
12.02.24	Dominik Koepfer - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
23.06.22	Nuno Borges - Max Purcell	1:3

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