Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Poznan 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maxim Mrva		Akira Santillan

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Maxim Mrva
72%

Akira Santillan
28%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Mrva is ranked ATP: 287. Santillan is ranked ATP: 306.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Santillan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mrva is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Jan Sadzik	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Martin Krumich - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Sebastian Baez - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Akira Santillan - Filip Pieczonka	Canceled ✺
09.06.26	Zsombor Piros - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Akira Santillan - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Akira Santillan - Marko Bekeni	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Akira Santillan - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LLWL

Maxim Mrva - Akira Santillan