Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Maxim Mrva		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.57)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
54.7%

Mathys Erhard
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxim Mrva - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 425. Erhard is ranked ATP: 274.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mrva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mrva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Maxim Mrva - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Maxim Mrva - Denys Molchanov	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Filip Pieczonka - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Stefan Palosi - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mathys Erhard - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Mathys Erhard - Maxim Mrva	2:0

Maxim Mrva - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide