Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 17, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Maxime Chazal		Luca Wiedenmann

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.84	1.61	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)	1.91 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxime Chazal
52%

Luca Wiedenmann
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxime Chazal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxime Chazal's performance.

Luca Wiedenmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Wiedenmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxime Chazal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Maxime Chazal - Luca Wiedenmann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chazal is ranked ATP: 478. Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 763.

Chazal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wiedenmann is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wiedenmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wiedenmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Chazal - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.35%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxime Chazal
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Maxime Chazal - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Maxime Chazal - Matteo Mesaglio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Calvin Hemery - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Maxime Chazal - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Maxime Chazal - Karim Bennani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW
- Luca Wiedenmann
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Jan Simonsson - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Jack Karlsson Wistrand - Luca Wiedenmann	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Alaa Trifi - Luca Wiedenmann	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Andrea Colombo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Maxime Chazal - Luca Wiedenmann: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide