Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Maximilian Homberg		Michael Bassem Sobhy

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67
	2.06	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.59)	1.66 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Homberg
44.3%

Michael Bassem Sobhy
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximilian Homberg's performance.

Michael Bassem Sobhy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Bassem Sobhy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximilian Homberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Bassem Sobhy than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Bassem Sobhy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maximilian Homberg - Michael Bassem Sobhy Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Bassem Sobhy will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michael Bassem Sobhy will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Homberg is ranked ATP: 961. Bassem Sobhy is ranked ATP: 764.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Homberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bassem Sobhy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Nikita Bilozertsev - Maximilian Homberg	Bilozertsev N. retired ✺
13.11.25	Hazem Naw - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Maximilian Homberg - Seydina Andre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 L?WWL
- Michael Bassem Sobhy
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Vincent Marysko - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Balthazar Huss - Michael Bassem Sobhy	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Karim Ibrahim - Michael Bassem Sobhy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW

Maximilian Homberg - Michael Bassem Sobhy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide