Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Alexandr Binda		Michael Bassem Sobhy

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.29
	1.48	2.46
	1.45	2.60	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.38 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
61%

Michael Bassem Sobhy
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Michael Bassem Sobhy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Bassem Sobhy than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Alexandr Binda - Michael Bassem Sobhy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bassem Sobhy (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Binda (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Binda (votes: 1 - 50%). Bassem Sobhy (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 434. Bassem Sobhy is ranked ATP: 764.

Binda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bassem Sobhy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bassem Sobhy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Binda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Binda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Yurii Dzhavakian	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alexandr Binda - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Matej Dodig - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Alexandr Binda - Pedro Vives Marcos	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Alexandr Binda - Maxence Beauge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Michael Bassem Sobhy
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Vincent Marysko - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Balthazar Huss - Michael Bassem Sobhy	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Karim Ibrahim - Michael Bassem Sobhy	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Ruslan Tiukaev - Michael Bassem Sobhy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.09.24	Alexandr Binda - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0

Alexandr Binda - Michael Bassem Sobhy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide