Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Store, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Maximilian Homberg		Stefano DAgostino

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.91	1.79
	2.00	1.83
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.98	1.80
	1.90	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Homberg
47.7%

Stefano DAgostino
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Stefano DAgostino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Homberg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximilian Homberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano DAgostino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maximilian Homberg - Stefano DAgostino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Homberg is ranked ATP: 816. DAgostino is ranked ATP: 831.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Homberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Homberg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Homberg
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Maximilian Homberg - Filip Jeff Planinsek	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Maximilian Homberg - Mak Mikovic	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Maximilian Homberg - Marko Retelj	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Maximilian Homberg - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Bor Artnak - Maximilian Homberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- Stefano DAgostino
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Stefano DAgostino - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Florent Bax - Stefano DAgostino	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Sean Cuenin - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Stefano DAgostino - Maximilian Homberg	2:0

Maximilian Homberg - Stefano DAgostino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide