Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Maximilian Neuchrist		Florent Bax

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.75	1.38
	2.86	1.38
	2.78	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.77	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (1.99)	1.38 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximilian Neuchrist
32.9%

Florent Bax
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximilian Neuchrist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximilian Neuchrist's form might have worsened.

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florent Bax's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florent Bax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Neuchrist is ranked ATP: 816. Bax is ranked ATP: 514.

Neuchrist is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bax is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neuchrist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximilian Neuchrist
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Jonas Forejtek - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Ivan Gakhov - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Maximilian Neuchrist - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
28.08.24	Akram El Sallaly - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
20.08.24	Maximilian Neuchrist - Nikita Bilozertsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
29.09.24	Corentin Denolly - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Adil Kalyanpur - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Florent Bax - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Florent Bax - Pranav Kumar	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Karan Singh - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL

Maximilian Neuchrist - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide