Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Maximus Jones		Arthur Weber

	1	2
			Watch
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.51	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.54
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.61)	1.5 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
37.7%

Arthur Weber
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maximus Jones's form might have worsened.

Arthur Weber has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Weber's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maximus Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Weber than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Weber, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 378. Weber is ranked ATP: 436.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
16.01.26	Maximus Jones - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Yi Zhou - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Maximus Jones	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
12.01.26	Maximus Jones - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWW?W
- Arthur Weber
ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Arthur Weber - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Arthur Weber - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Arthur Weber - Thantub Suksumrarn	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Arthur Weber - Ha Minh Duc Vu	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Arthur Weber - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.23	Arthur Weber - Maximus Jones	2:0

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