Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Maximus Jones		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.23	1.58
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.42	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
39.7%

Joel Schwaerzler
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Maximus Jones - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 3 - 60%). Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 354. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 254.

Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Schwaerzler is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maximus Jones - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Maximus Jones - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Maximus Jones - Ryotaro Taguchi	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Maximus Jones - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Maximus Jones - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Lorenzo Giustino	Schwaerzler J. J. walkover ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 L?WWL

Maximus Jones - Joel Schwaerzler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide