Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Maximus Jones		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)	1.67 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
44.1%

Daniil Glinka
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximus Jones's performance.

Daniil Glinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniil Glinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximus Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniil Glinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maximus Jones - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 618. Glinka is ranked ATP: 422.

Jones is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Glinka is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Glinka will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Glinka to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Clement Chidekh - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Maximus Jones - Kris van Wyk	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Maximus Jones - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Maximus Jones - Kwami Dussey	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Maximus Jones - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Daniil Glinka - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Benoit Paire - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Daniil Glinka - Raphael Perot	Glinka D. retired ✺
12.03.25	Daniil Glinka - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WW?WW

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