Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Maximus Jones		Fabrizio Andaloro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.76	2.04
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.44)	2.02 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
54%

Fabrizio Andaloro
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maximus Jones's performance.

Fabrizio Andaloro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabrizio Andaloro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maximus Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabrizio Andaloro than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabrizio Andaloro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Maximus Jones - Fabrizio Andaloro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Andaloro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jones: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 425. Andaloro is ranked ATP: 498.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Maximus Jones - Konstantine Gogeliya	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Maximus Jones - Richard Berankis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Maximus Jones - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Maximus Jones - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Maximus Jones - Richard Berankis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Fabrizio Andaloro
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Dane Sweeny - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Charles Broom - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Giles Hussey - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Henry Searle - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWW?

Maximus Jones - Fabrizio Andaloro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide