Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Diego, CA, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Maxwell Exsted		Bryce Nakashima

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.70	1.40
	2.82	1.44
	2.88	1.34	Watch
	2.75	1.41
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (1.68)	1.4 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxwell Exsted
33.8%

Bryce Nakashima
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxwell Exsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxwell Exsted's form might have worsened.

Bryce Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bryce Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxwell Exsted than the current prediction. (+25.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxwell Exsted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bryce Nakashima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maxwell Exsted - Bryce Nakashima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Exsted is ranked ATP: 1004. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 1145.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Exsted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxwell Exsted
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Maxwell Exsted - Benjamin Berger	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Lorenzo Claverie - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Maxwell Exsted - Matt Kuhar	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Maxwell Exsted - Strong Kirchheimer	0:2
12.06.26	Sasha Rozin - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Bryce Nakashima
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Bryce Nakashima - Nav Dayal	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Bryce Nakashima - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Henry Wilson - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Bryce Nakashima - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Bryce Nakashima - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Maxwell Exsted - Bryce Nakashima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide