Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Maya Joint		Sara Errani

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.41	2.84	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	2.77 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maya Joint
66.2%

Sara Errani
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maya Joint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sara Errani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maya Joint than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maya Joint - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Joint will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Errani will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Joint: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Errani (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Errani (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Errani (5.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Errani (2.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 Games, 2nd Set - Errani (2.21) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

H/A, 1st Set - Errani (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Errani (2.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Errani (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Joint is ranked WTA: 78. Errani is ranked WTA: 152.

Recent matches Joint is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Errani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Joint could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Joint will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Joint won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maya Joint
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Maya Joint	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Priscilla Hon - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Carol Zhao - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Maya Joint - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Maya Joint - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Sara Errani
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.25	Magdalena Frech - Sara Errani	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
16.03.25	Maya Joint - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
02.03.25	Sara Errani - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
16.03.25	Maya Joint - Sara Errani	2:0
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Maya Joint - Sara Errani	2:0

Maya Joint - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide