Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Mei Yamaguchi		Hayu Kinoshita

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.34
	3.05	1.3	Watch
	3.16	1.39
	2.96	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.04	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mei Yamaguchi
30.4%

Hayu Kinoshita
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mei Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Hayu Kinoshita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mei Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mei Yamaguchi - Hayu Kinoshita Predictions

Users Predictions: Hayu Kinoshita will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yamaguchi is ranked WTA: 293. Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 233.

Recent performances by Yamaguchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kinoshita is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kinoshita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kinoshita is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kinoshita will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yamaguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mei Yamaguchi Tennis
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Anastasia Zolotareva - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Ayano Shimizu - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Mei Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mei Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Mei Yamaguchi - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Hayu Kinoshita
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Kristiana Sidorova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Hayu Kinoshita	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Ena Koike - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - En Shuo Liang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.04.24	Hayu Kinoshita - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2

Mei Yamaguchi - Hayu Kinoshita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide