Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gifu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Hayu Kinoshita		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.72	1.47
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.99)	1.45 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayu Kinoshita
35.8%

Himeno Sakatsume
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayu Kinoshita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hayu Kinoshita's form might have worsened.

Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Himeno Sakatsume's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Hayu Kinoshita - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 297. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 132.

Kinoshita is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakatsume has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kinoshita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sakatsume will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kinoshita won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayu Kinoshita
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - En Shuo Liang	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Mai Hontama - Hayu Kinoshita	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW
- Himeno Sakatsume
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Olivia Gadecki - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Harriet Dart - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Yexin Ma - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Himeno Sakatsume	Canceled ✺
10.04.26	Jasmine Paolini - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Hayu Kinoshita - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2
23.10.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Hayu Kinoshita	2:1

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