Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Oegstgeest, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Merel Hoedt		Polina Bakhmutkina

	1	2
	1.2	3.9
	1.14	5.4
	1.19	4.35	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.18	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.3)	4.41 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merel Hoedt
78.8%

Polina Bakhmutkina
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merel Hoedt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merel Hoedt's performance.

Polina Bakhmutkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polina Bakhmutkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merel Hoedt than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merel Hoedt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Bakhmutkina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polina Bakhmutkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merel Hoedt - Polina Bakhmutkina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hoedt is ranked WTA: 747. Bakhmutkina is ranked WTA: 1279.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bakhmutkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hoedt is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merel Hoedt
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Demi Tran - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Loes Ebeling Koning - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Merel Hoedt - Sada Nahimana	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Merel Hoedt - Demi Tran	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Merel Hoedt - Astrid Lew Yan Foon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Polina Bakhmutkina
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Madelief Hageman - Polina Bakhmutkina	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Anouck Vrancken Peeters	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Vaishnavi Adkar	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Polina Bakhmutkina - Oana Georgeta Simion	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Nina Andronicou - Polina Bakhmutkina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLLW

Merel Hoedt - Polina Bakhmutkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide