Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Le Havre, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Merel Hoedt		Sarah Iliev

	1	2
	2.13	1.74
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.97)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merel Hoedt
44.7%

Sarah Iliev
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merel Hoedt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sarah Iliev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merel Hoedt than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Merel Hoedt - Sarah Iliev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hoedt is ranked WTA: 778. Iliev is ranked WTA: 634.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Iliev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merel Hoedt
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Margaux Maquet - Merel Hoedt	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Merel Hoedt - Katerina Tsygourova	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Paula Cembranos - Merel Hoedt	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Valentina Losciale - Merel Hoedt	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Merel Hoedt - Gina Marie Dittmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW
- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Sarah Iliev - Paula Cembranos	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Sarah Iliev - Tea Nikcevic	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarah Iliev - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Sara Cakarevic - Sarah Iliev	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Arianna Zucchini - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

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