Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Mert Alkaya		Fabrizio Andaloro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.47	2.48
	1.85	1.98
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.82	1.96
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.97)	2 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
53.1%

Fabrizio Andaloro
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Fabrizio Andaloro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabrizio Andaloro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Mert Alkaya - Fabrizio Andaloro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 332. Andaloro is ranked ATP: 450.

Alkaya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Andaloro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Andaloro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alkaya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fabrizio Andaloro - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Ivan Dreycopp	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Matisse Bobichon	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
07.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mert Alkaya	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLL?
- Fabrizio Andaloro
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Matisse Bobichon - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Joao Dinis Silva - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Thijs Boogaard - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Joao Domingues - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Mert Alkaya	2:0

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