Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 16 (Turkey), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Antalya 16 (Turkey) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mert Alkaya		Johan Alexander Rodriguez

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	3	1.32
	3.08	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.09	1.33	Watch
	3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.2)	1.34 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mert Alkaya
31%

Johan Alexander Rodriguez
69%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mert Alkaya's form might have worsened.

Johan Alexander Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Johan Alexander Rodriguez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johan Alexander Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johan Alexander Rodriguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Alkaya is ranked ATP: 949. Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 747.

Recent matches Alkaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rodriguez is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rodriguez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rodriguez will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rodriguez to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Peter Fajta - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Mert Alkaya - Gokberk Saritas	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Mert Alkaya - Matas Vasiliauskas	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Maxence Rivet - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Johan Alexander Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
01.11.24	Matthew Summers - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Mert Naci Turker - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Amir Milushev - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Tom Gentzsch	Rodriguez J. A. retired ✺
24.10.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Alp Horoz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Mert Alkaya - Yu Hsiou Hsu	✺
- Johan Alexander Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Khololwam Montsi - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	✺

Mert Alkaya - Johan Alexander Rodriguez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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