Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Chris Rodesch		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.60
	1.2	3.8	Watch
	1.25	4.28
	1.22	3.84	Watch
	1.23	4.05	Watch
	1.22	3.84	Watch
	1.21	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	3.91 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Rodesch
76.1%

Mert Alkaya
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Rodesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chris Rodesch's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodesch is ranked ATP: 173. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 332.

Rodesch is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alkaya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodesch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodesch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mert Alkaya - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Rodesch
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Chris Rodesch - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Florent Bax - Chris Rodesch	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Chris Rodesch	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Chris Rodesch - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Mert Alkaya
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Sebastian Dominko - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Ivan Dreycopp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya	2:0

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